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General UK Climate News and Stories

The Sun and Daily Mail are reporting today that the Met Office has briefed the government that their modelling suggests we're in for "55 days of rain", the worst summer in over 100 years.
 
Rain (>=1mm anywhere in the UK is the UKMO definition of a 'day of rain') falls roughly 'every other day' during a typical year (last year 47% of days were rain days). So in a summer season of 93 days you would expect about 43-44 days of rain. The red top comics are apparently reporting '50 days of rain' (just over a 10% increase). This probably just reflects the growing thunderstorm (ie convective) rain risk in summer (AGW is anticipated to increase rainfall risk in NW Europe) coupled with the current teleconnections drivers.

Most likely it is from a contingency briefing to government, not a forecast as such, just advice on potential risk to factor into authorities' preparations.

e2a: UKMO comment...
UKMO: It is not possible to forecast a specific number of days of rain for a whole season. Extended range outlooks look at probabilities of dominant weather regimes, all of which could be possible, with near- average conditions most likely.
 
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$4,000.000 cow to satisfy carnivorous beef appetite



Worth $4 million, Viatina-19 FIV Mara Movéis is the most expensive cow ever sold at auction, according to Guinness World Records. That’s three times more than the last recordholder’s price. And — at 1,100 kilograms (more than 2,400 pounds) — she’s twice as heavy as an average adult of her breed...

Climate scientists agree that people need to consume less beef, the largest agricultural source of greenhouse gasses and a driver of Amazon deforestation.
 
This quite neat, capturing the tidal energy off the north coast of Scotland. I'm nowhere near qualified to say whether it's scaleable, or whether it has unforeseen negative consequences.

It looks like it's feasible to scale it up. I guess have to question if the turbine blades would be a threat to sea life or not.
 


Scaldingly angry downpour shortens time added on in a football match between Mickleover Sports and Blyth Spartans at the weekend.

An almost Caribbean-style storm and would have been seen as a headline-generating anomaly fifteen years or so ago. Now everyone just shrugs.
 
An Atlantic Ocean current system that keeps the UK temperate (Ireland too) rather than 'like Northern Norway', is said to be possibly at risk of no longer doing its thing. It's a 'serious possibility' within decades according to a group of scientists:

Climate scientists warn Nordic ministers of changing Atlantic Ocean current
link
Several studies have suggested that the risk of the Atlantic current changing has been greatly underestimated, the scientists said, adding that there was a serious possibility of passing the tipping point in the next few decades.
"If Britain and Ireland become like northern Norway, (that) has tremendous consequences. Our finding is that this is not a low probability," said professor Peter Ditlevsen at the University of Copenhagen, a signatory of the letter.

"This is not something you easily adapt to."
A collapse of the ocean-current system would increase cooling of the Northern Hemisphere, raise Atlantic sea levels, drop precipitation over Europe and North America and shift monsoons in South America and Africa, according to the United Kingdom's Met Office.
 
An Atlantic Ocean current system that keeps the UK temperate (Ireland too) rather than 'like Northern Norway', is said to be possibly at risk of no longer doing its thing. It's a 'serious possibility' within decades according to a group of scientists:

Climate scientists warn Nordic ministers of changing Atlantic Ocean current
link
twenty years ago now....
day+after+tomorrow.jpg
 
Seems fairly obvious that floods are more commonplace, and that not enough is done to prepare and mitigate against a trend that will likely worsen. There are also rising sea levels to consider, and food yields.

Emma Pinchbeck, who heads the government's independent climate advisory body, told the BBC's Sunday with Laura Kuenssberg that the UK is "off track" and must do more to prepare for scenarios like flooding and intense heat.
Pinchbeck said the UK must plan for more extreme weather events like Saturday's storm, adding: "We have to prepare our infrastructure for it.

"We have to prepare the economy for it. We have to prepare our homes for it."

The government's own climate risk assessment, published in 2022, warned the impacts of a changing environment could cost the UK billions of pounds a year.
It said that efforts must be undertaken to prepare for the effects of 4C of warming, regardless of international agreements with targets to limit warming to 1.5C.

Pinchbeck continued: "There are risks to our food yields, there are risks to where we can build safe homes for people, and risks to our towns and cities which are built on coastlines.

"These things are very obvious and we should be acting now to tackle them."
 
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