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Donald Trump, the road that might not lead to the White House!

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It would appear that Trump supporters are targeting (or attempting to target) the Amish vote now (seems they don't realise they don't vote, or think they can persuade them to vote).

One Amish interviewed expressed the opinion that Trump might be a judgement sent from the sky fairy and that things have to get worse before they get better.

(Source: CNN).
 
The Donald has reversed himself yet again.....this time on Libya. He just stupidly gave away an issue he could have tried to use against Hillary. This guy is going to lose.
Presumptive GOP presidential nominee Donald Trump reversed his position on U.S. intervention in Libya on Sunday, saying in an interview that he would have approved of a "surgical" strike to take out former Libyan Prime Minister Muammar Gaddafi after telling voters the world would be better with the leader still in power.
Hullabaloo
 
Trump will beat Hillary easily (and there's not much to choose between them anyway). Only Sanders stands a chance against him, and only Sanders stands a chance of achieving real change.

Unless the Democrats Run Sanders, A Trump Nomination Means a Trump Presidency | Current Affairs
That article is 3.5 mo old. It may have been somewhat true then but he's made too many idiotic/racist statements since then. He continues to attack the "Mexican" judge in the Trump U case & is under attack by the party establishment. That worked in the primaries but not in the general. He appears to have few decent advisers, or ignores their advice. His "campaign" consists of tweeting silly comments. Five months before the election the wheels appear to be coming off the Trump train. He's up against Hillary's campaign of pros that know how to wage a national campaign & win elections.
 
That article is 3.5 mo old. It may have been somewhat true then but he's made too many idiotic/racist statements since then. He continues to attack the "Mexican" judge in the Trump U case & is under attack by the party establishment. That worked in the primaries but not in the general. He appears to have few decent advisers, or ignores their advice. His "campaign" consists of tweeting silly comments. Five months before the election the wheels appear to be coming off the Trump train. He's up against Hillary's campaign of pros that know how to wage a national campaign & win elections.

That's the liberal illusion, and it's going to prove a disastrous mistake. No-one likely to vote for Trump gives a toss what he says about Mexican judges. If anything, such statements make it more likely that rednecks will make the effort to go to the polls.

Basically, Hillary isn't different enough from Trump to inspire a sufficient number of voters. Only Sanders can stop him now.
 
That's the liberal illusion, and it's going to prove a disastrous mistake. No-one likely to vote for Trump gives a toss what he says about Mexican judges. If anything, such statements make it more likely that rednecks will make the effort to go to the polls.

Basically, Hillary isn't different enough from Trump to inspire a sufficient number of voters. Only Sanders can stop him now.


I think it's irrelevant what the die hard core Trump supporters care about, he has lost Latin, Hispanic, Muslim, and Women voters. He's never taking the whitehouse without them.
 
I think it's irrelevant what the die hard core Trump supporters care about, he has lost Latin, Hispanic, Muslim, and Women voters. He's never taking the whitehouse without them.

He didn't "lose" them, he never had them in the first place.

The election will turn on which candidate can motivate their core constituency to vote. That will be Trump, because he is a genuine radical. It will take a genuine radical to beat him, and that ain't Hillary.
 
I think it's irrelevant what the die hard core Trump supporters care about, he has lost Latin, Hispanic, Muslim, and Women voters. He's never taking the whitehouse without them.
dont indulge the misogynist bigot, just ignore it
 
The election will turn on which candidate can motivate their core constituency to vote. That will be Trump, because he is a genuine radical. It will take a genuine radical to beat him, and that ain't Hillary.
It will turn on which candidate can motivate the swing voters/independents. Neither candidate can win with just their base.
 
Neither candidate can win with just their base.

Their "base" is a fluid concept. Either could easily win with their "base" alone, if 100% of the "base" turns out to vote.

Trump has got plenty of people very excited--excited enough to go to the polls for the first time. People absolutely love the way he speaks to his opponents, who they despise as much as he does. If he continues to attack Hillary and by extension liberalism as a whole, he's going to get many more people excited. The public mood in the USA is radical. People will vote for someone they perceive as radical, of pretty much any description. They won't vote for a moderate.
 

As I say, it depends on what we're calling the "base."

If we say that Trump's "base" is working-class white people, then obviously he would win if 100% of his base votes. As would Hillary if 100% of her putative "base" turns out. Trump is grounding his campaign on the assumption that, if he is horrible enough to the people they (rightly) despise, his base will be sufficiently excited that more of them will vote than Hillary's. He believes he can disregard those outside this core of support and still win.

And I do believe he' right about that. Never make the mistake of thinking Trump stupid. He's anything but.
 
Their "base" is a fluid concept. Either could easily win with their "base" alone, if 100% of the "base" turns out to vote.

Trump has got plenty of people very excited--excited enough to go to the polls for the first time. People absolutely love the way he speaks to his opponents, who they despise as much as he does. If he continues to attack Hillary and by extension liberalism as a whole, he's going to get many more people excited. The public mood in the USA is radical. People will vote for someone they perceive as radical, of pretty much any description. They won't vote for a moderate.

I think that this is probably true. A lot of people see Trump as a nasty bully but are happy that he is being a nasty bully to horrible people who they hate, and he is doing that. One thing I find astonishing is just how vapid so much of the electoral coverage is in the US, even the supposedly 'high brow' NPR's political output resembles celebrity gossip far more than it does even the terrible but not nearly as bad mainstream political coverage in the UK.
 
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