They're definitely playing it down but not sure how you get to it being a humiliation rather than just more than they particularly want to chew on right now. Although they've not released casualties neither has the Indian side claimed to have come off best (unless it's something off Twitter I've not seen) and they'll have no trouble selling the outcome as it stands domestically.
That seems a bit tendentious. Of course domestically they're claiming to have seen off an Indian incursion across the LAC. Don't think the establishment of Ladakh as a separate union territory during Indian tinkering with the Jammu Kashmir dispensation has helped calm things down either, think the China side see that as aggressive revanchism. That's a larger change than any of the various bits of Chinese tinkering in the region.If their salami slicing got successfully beaten back by India, it would be a humiliation for them.
They are trying to position themselves as rivals to the US in a bipolar world a la the USSR, and they try to frame rivalry with India in those terms (e.g. India is a lackey of the US or being tricked by the US, rather than a player in its own right.) Being seen to be beaten back by India is a demotion of China from rival to the US for world hegemony, to rival of India for regional hegemony, and it contradicts the prevailing nationalist narrative in China of the inevitability of China retaking its supposedly natural place as world hegemon. Being beaten back by India just forces them into a difficult narrative position and is a bit of a blow to national ego which would prefer to see things exclusively in terms of a US vs China bid for global supremacy.
I think I made a thread about this a few years ago during the Doklam standoff where I argued that during the 2020s India's population will overtake China's and the economic gap between the two will shrink, which will likely cause a legitimacy crisis for the CCP by calling into question the inevitability of their "great rejuvenation", which essentially means a Sino-centric world order. I suspect this is part of the reason Chinese media has downplayed it, because the blow to "national confidence" would be quite big and they fear that would damage confidence in the CCP. So that's the lense I'm looking at things through and that's what I mean by humiliation.
That seems a bit tendentious. Of course domestically they're claiming to have seen off an Indian incursion across the LAC. Don't think the establishment of Ladakh as a separate union territory during Indian tinkering with the Jammu Kashmir dispensation has helped calm things down either, think the China side see that as aggressive revanchism. That's a larger change than any of the various bits of Chinese tinkering in the region.
My take is while they don't want to lose face over it as they do base legitimacy on "national integrity" nor is it a priority beyond not losing ground figuratively or literally. Reading it on into a wider picture again seems to be making whole cloth from scraps, I'm not sure they're half so bold as you imagine much as they may want to be.
Yes, that sounds fair enough. I think I'm just a little less certain about how exactly full-on they are with the larger ambitions, I think there's more vacillation between bombast and caution than I thought you implied in the first post I quoted.I don't really disagree with anything you posted there, and I don't think it is incompatible with my interpretation of events either - that India's assertiveness took them by surprise and they haven't really figured out a meta-narrative which a rising India fits comfortably into, so they're prefering not to focus on it for now.
One of the Indian Officers who was killed was a Lt Col - the CO of the infantry Battalion holding this area of the line.
While one life isn't more important than the next, the loss of someone of that rank/position makes it more difficult politically for India to 'shrug off' than the loss of a Private soldier.
Or what a bollocks Modi has made of the Covid outbreak.Of course, all this fuss distracts everyone as to what might be happening in Hong Kong.
The Welsh ought to adopt those tactics, reclaim a bit of the land they lost all those years ago.
Media so tied up there now it really doesn’t make any difference. It’s a bit like America you love the leader or you don’t , but if you don’t in India you don’t have a job as a journalist at any major outlet anymore.Or what a bollocks Modi has made of the Covid outbreak.
Two lovely states doing what's best for their massive populations. Ahem.Media so tied up there now it really doesn’t make any difference. It’s a bit like America you love the leader or you don’t , but if you don’t in India you don’t have a job as a journalist at any major outlet anymore.
The absence of bullets or artillery becomes a bit moot when they’re using nail studded steel bars such as this to inflict lethal force.
I do hope the leadership of each country can get their arses into gear and resolve things through diplomacy so more credulous squaddies don’t pointlessly club each other to death. Meanwhile dumbfuck Trump sits in his ivory tower turning tricks to get re-elected, while his incompetent foreign policy continues to destabilise the world.
Would China be so assertive with India now if Trump hadn’t been shaking them down over trade? Seems to me the Chinese are giving up on playing nice with the West and this little skirmish will be one of many examples of them asserting themselves with the rest of the world.
The absence of bullets or artillery becomes a bit moot when they’re using nail studded steel bars such as this to inflict lethal force.
I do hope the leadership of each country can get their arses into gear and resolve things through diplomacy so more credulous squaddies don’t pointlessly club each other to death. Meanwhile dumbfuck Trump sits in his ivory tower turning tricks to get re-elected, while his incompetent foreign policy continues to destabilise the world.
Would China be so assertive with India now if Trump hadn’t been shaking them down over trade? Seems to me the Chinese are giving up on playing nice with the West and this little skirmish will be one of many examples of them asserting themselves with the rest of the world.
Officials in New Delhi said the pact clears the path for a likely bilateral meeting between Modi and Xi on the sidelines of the BRICS summit, which will be their first since 2020.
The senior military officer said that both sides would pull back their troops a little from current positions to avoid face-offs, but would be allowed to patrol these areas according to a schedule that is being worked out.
Monthly review meetings and regular monitoring of the contested areas by both sides would ensure there are no violations, he added.
Deependra Singh Hooda, a retired senior Indian army officer who was a commander for a part of the China frontier, said that while the two sides would need fresh confidence-building measures, "at least the impasse has been broken".
Slow progress during talks over the last four years to end the stand-off damaged business ties between the two large economies, with New Delhi tightening scrutiny of investment by Chinese firms and halting major projects.
India's tougher vetting of all Chinese investment after the clashes effectively turned away billions of dollars from the likes of carmakers BYD and Great Wall Motor, and added more red tape in Indian firms' interactions with Chinese stakeholders.
However, Indian imports from China have surged 56% since the 2020 border clash, nearly doubling New Delhi's trade deficit with Beijing to $85 billion. China remains India's biggest source of goods and was its largest supplier of industrial products last year.