Kid_Eternity said:
Excellent, I've been waiting to see what the grassroots really think about all this! How typical would you say your reaction to all this amongst party members?
My reaction is fairly typical, although the party is a strange one. Where I live we are fairly left wing but when I went to a constiuency during the election just 20 minutes away it seemed like another party.
The media, like many of the public have never really had any interest in Liberal Democrats. Because of this lack of interest they have proved to be clueless about our party. So don't listen to what the media are saying. Because of their lack of understanding and their laziness they are prepared to swallow whatever the leadership say.
I would guess that quite a large proportion of our members were former members or supporters of the big two parties. With the ex-labour lot being the most active of the two. Remember, there was a bit of an exodus from the Lib Dem party membership to Labour when Blair became leader. The current Liberal Democrats have a very different make up to the old Liberal/SDP coallition.
The divide in the Lib Dems isnt so much old liberal and old SDP, but a clear left-right split. When accused of being left wing, Kennedy spouted loads of stuff about left and right not being of relevance in modern day britain. The media just assumed that he said this to purely to keep soft tory voters on our side(they basically wsallowed what the leadership said without questioning). The main reason, in my opinion was to try and keep the party united and not to expose the split.
Both Kennedy and Ashdown were pretty much centre ground and could unite the party. there is no one there to do this this time. I think the Lib Dem leadership are trying to portray Campbell as being this man, but I feel many party members are worried that he has been flirting with the devils a bit too much. He may not be as rabid as the Orange Book brigade but is clearly to the right of both Ashdown and Kennedy. Ashdown was seen as too right wing by many members and was probably more popular with the public than with his own members.
The leadership do not have a clue about the party members (except for Kennedy which is why he was so popular). They think Ming will walk it, but It won't be that simple. This will be a Left- Right contest to an extent, how far it goes will be interesting. The media seem to swallow the fact that campbell has it made and a left candidate cant win, but this really does depend on how the debate develops. There is a big chance that this election will seen as important to the ideological direction of our party (Kennedys election was more about personality). If this is the case, the left could easily win as its the left that is in majority (within the grassroots party, definatly not within the parliamentary party).
The only problem is Simon Hughes. He desperatly wants to be leader and is popular amongst activists. But, many are wary of him. Don't believe all this rubbish (again which the media have swallowed) about Hughes not announcing his decision yet because he has to set up the workings of the election as president. The left are trying to see if there is a more credible candidate- If Jenny Tonge was still an MP, I would expect she would be in the running.
Just a hunch but I have a feeling we could see Evan Harris standing. very unlikely, but this delay is pointing towards the fact that Hughes may not stand.