Important Revels Based Science Question

[Supine]

It goes without saying we all like to eat a bag of revels occasionally. A mixture of differing chocolate types in one bag

What % chance is there of selecting three randomly from the bag, and having them all soft creamy in texture. So, no raisins, no crunch, nothing tough to chew. Chocomaths. I'm hoping the urban scientists can help answer this question.

 

[Pickman's model]

it's a simple probability question ie maths not science

 

[Pickman's model]

equationgirl

 

[alsoknownas]

3.69%

 

[Pickman's model]

alsoknownas let's see your working

 

[Bonfirelight]

3.69%

never tell me the odds.

 

[Zapp Brannigan]

6 types - orange, coffee, chocolate (soft), toffee, raisin and malteser (non soft).

Assuming large sample size and even distribution, probability is 0.5 x 0.5 x 0.5, i.e. 0.125 or 1 in 8.

 

[Supine]

Genius

 

[pogofish]

IIRC this is why the makers of Revels vary the proportion of the different centers between batches - also some regions do show a distinct preference for a toffee-high bag, whilst others like a different balance.

 

[Callie]

How are they going to be selected randomly? Can someone invent a revel selecting machine?

 

[farmerbarleymow]

How are they going to be selected randomly? Can someone invent a revel selecting machine?

Does the manufacturer have outlet shops? There's one in Salford Quays for one company whose name i can't remember, and you can buy bags of one type of mixed products like Revels. For example, bags of the blue aniseed jelly things in Liquorice Allsorts.

 

[alsoknownas]

alsoknownas let's see your working

My working was the same as Zapp, except I didn't include the chocolate as 'soft creamy'.

 

[Cid]

Revel selection has a strong non-random element, the shape of the plain chocolate and raisin varieties are distinctive. Additionally I believe the spherical varieties are different sizes.