Hurricane Irene

[yardbird]

The update on bbc news looks bad.
They showed a satilite picture and she looks enormous, will hit the eastern seaboard and poss winds of 130mph!

Batten down the hatches and good luck.

 

[ferrelhadley]

Seems she will top out at cat 4 for a day. She does not look particularly menacing for the moment, you would expect a couple of that size every year.

 

[dilute micro]

Looks like the eye is going to stay out at sea which means the coast won't get hit by the northern/eastern edge. And that is good.

https://secure.www.stormpulse.com/?fsd=1

 

[dilute micro]

You have to wonder why they don't just plan to give all tropical storms wimpy names. Wimpy named storms never do any damage.

So far this year there were:

Arlene
Bret
Cindy
Don
Emily
Franklin
Gert
Harvey

^only Gert, Emily and Arlene had any potential to be dangerous.

 

[xes]

Looks like the eye is going to stay out at sea which means the coast won't get hit by the northern/eastern edge. And that is good.

https://secure.www.stormpulse.com/?fsd=1

Looks like it's moved then, cos NYC is now smack bang in the middle of it.
This has the potential to be pretty fucked up. When was the last time a Cat 3-4 hurricaine hit New york? Apparently, evacuations have started in some areas in the path.

 

[xes]

- Irene is a hurricane that poses an extraordinary threat and is one that no one has yet experienced in North Carolina to the mid-Atlantic to the Northeast and New England.

- We can now narrow the projected path corridor. Confidence is growing that locations from eastern North Carolina and the eastern Mid-Atlantic states to Long Island to southern New England are all in the potential path of Hurricane Irene.

- It is becoming clear that Irene's future track will NOT be a Hurricane Earl (2010) scenario where a hurricane barely brushes the Outer Banks of North Carolina then stays well offshore.

- History tells us that no category 4 hurricane has made landfall north of the South Carolina/North Carolina border. That said, some computer guidance indicates a category 4 landfall over eastern North Carolina and this solution can NOT be ruled out.

- There is historical precedence for a hurricane impacting the major metropolitan areas of the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast but these hurricanes are rare.

- However, with a population explosion along coastal areas of the Northeast during the past several decades, there is little to no precedence for a hurricane of this potential magnitude making landfall over highly populated metropolitan areas such as New York City.

- Regardless of track and intensity, confidence is growing that Hurricane Irene will cause extensive tree and power line damage. Electricity infrastructure will be greatly compromised for millions if not tens of millions of Americans.

http://www.weather.com/weather/hurricanecentral/article/irene-rare-dangerous-hurricane_2011-08-25

mandatory evacuations begin friday morning for Long Beach Island
http://lacey.patch.com/articles/mandatory-evacuation-for-lbi-beginning-friday-morning

 

[lizzieloo]

http://www.reuters.com/subjects/hurricanes/hurricane-tracker

 

[xes]

that's not working for me, it just kind of flickers on and off.

 

[lizzieloo]

I know Reuters just tweeted it, I expect a lot of people went there at the same time.

 

[sleaterkinney]

Looks like it's moved then, cos NYC is now smack bang in the middle of it.
This has the potential to be pretty fucked up. When was the last time a Cat 3-4 hurricaine hit New york? Apparently, evacuations have started in some areas in the path.

Won't colder water slow it down?.

 

[ferrelhadley]

Won't colder water slow it down?.

If you mean will it reduce the intensity of the circular winds then yes cooler water means there is less moisture in the upper troposphere condensing from water vapor to water liquid water, that helps warm that part of the atmosphere driving a sort of sucking in of air. Cooler seas mean less moisture is available to feed the cyclone.

But that said she is still slotted to hit New England as a cat 1. There is a very real risk of this being a damaging hurricane or tropical storm strength storm on landfall including sea surge and fresh water flooding. If people reading this live in affected areas, today is a good day to be cautious.

 

[dilute micro]

Looks like it's moved then, cos NYC is now smack bang in the middle of it.
This has the potential to be pretty fucked up. When was the last time a Cat 3-4 hurricaine hit New york? Apparently, evacuations have started in some areas in the path.

Yeah it's moved now. It's going to hit the Outer Banks. That's going to suck big time.

 

[lizzieloo]

that's not working for me, it just kind of flickers on and off.

Working now.

 

[xes]

Here're a load of webcams for anyone interested in keeping track of Irene

Bogue Inlet pier camera
http://www.bogueinletpier.com/livepiercam.htm
This one rocks, you can actually control it for 2 minutes! Webcam Southport, North Carolina, USA http://www.stateportpilot.com/live_webcam/
Kill devil hills
http://www.twiddy.com/outer-banks-webcam.aspx
This is another one you can control for up to 2 minutes@north myrtle in sc http://www.northmyrtlebeachchamber.com/index.php?gendocs&ref=Webcam&category=Main
Ocean Isle Beach surf camera
http://www.saltyssurfshopoib.com/ Holden Beach Camera http://www.earthcam.com/usa/northcarolina/supply/holden/
Here's one from the top of Cape Hatteras Lighthouse
http://www.outerbanks.net/webcams/cam/top-of-cape-hatteras-lighthouse.html
Cape Fear Com Col
http://www.instacam.com/showcam.asp?id=WLMNF&size=S
Rodanthe NC
http://www.instacam.com/showcam.asp?id=RDNTH&size=S
Emerald Isle pier camera
http://www.eilivesurf.com/livecams.asp
Topsail Island Pier
http://www.surfchex.com/topsail-island-web-cam.php
Kure Beach camera
http://www.surfchex.com/kure-beach-web-cam.php
Atlantic Beach circle camera
http://www.sobx.us/webcam.html
Indian Beach webcam-image updated every 5 mins
http://www.indianbeach.org/webcam.html
Ocracoke live camera
http://www.ocracoke.com/live_cam/live_cam.htm
Outer banks pier
http://www.obxcams.com/outer_banks_pier_enlarge.html
Oregon inlet
http://www.obxcams.com/oregon_inlet_enlarge.html
Hatteras landing marina
http://www.hatteraslanding.com/hatteras-landing-webcam
Blockade-runner@Wrightsville beach
http://blockade-runner.com/ocean-side-beach/beach-cam/
Cape Hatteras Lighthouse ocean view live camera
http://www.surfline.com/surf-report/cape-hatteras-lighthouse-southeast_5230/

 

[ferrelhadley]

US navy ordered to sea. (Sensible, all ships are far better at sea in a storm)

Edited: Those along the Atlantic sea board that is.

 

[stuff_it]

Apparently the subways of NY are closed and all low lying land is being evacuated, from my auntie who lives in NJ.

Pretty map of the hurricaine

 

[skyscraper101]

I'm hearing on the radio here that all low lying land is being evacuated too. And that it's mandatory.

Surely all of Manhattan is classed as 'low lying land' no?

That's one hell of an evacuation.

 

[stuff_it]

I'm hearing on the radio here that all low lying land is being evacuated too. And that it's mandatory.

Surely all of Manhattan is classed as 'low lying land' no?

That's one hell of an evacuation.

http://dealbook.nytimes.com/2011/08/26/as-irene-approaches-banks-prepare-for-the-worst/

Many of New York’s largest investment banks are headquartered in midtown Manhattan, and thus fall outside the city’s designated flood zones. Bank of America’s 1 Bryant Park skyscraper, Citigroup’s 399 Park Avenue building, Morgan Stanley’s 1585 Broadway bureau, and JPMorgan Chase’s 270 Park Avenue offices are all outside the zones. Credit Suisse’s tower, located a little further south at 11 Madison Avenue, also carries a “no zone” designation.

But the headquarters of Goldman Sachs, located at 200 West Street in Battery Park City, is located in Zone A, the low-lying area that Mayor has ordered to be evacuated. So is American Express’s office in the World Financial Center. Deutsche Bank’s 60 Wall Street headquarters, several blocks away from Goldman, is in Zone B.

 

[quimcunx]

Mate in NY has been out to buy bottled water, less perishable food and a vibrator as a precaution.

 

[Miss Caphat]

I hope we don't have to evacuate. I live right on the coast of Mass. hopefully will have died down before it reaches us.

 

[stuff_it]

Mate in NY has been out to buy bottled water, less perishable food and a vibrator as a precaution.

I hope she remembered to get batteries!

 

[Johnny Canuck3]

I think the press is sensationalizing a bit, yet again.

 

[quimcunx]

I hope she remembered to get batteries!

It's a wind-up one. It's going to be the masturbatory equivalent of rubbing your tummy while patting your head.

 

[Johnny Canuck3]

NBC correspondent braves Irene wind and rain in the Bahamas:

 

[Yuwipi Woman]

You have to wonder why they don't just plan to give all tropical storms wimpy names. Wimpy named storms never do any damage.

So far this year there were:

Arlene
Bret
Cindy
Don
Emily
Franklin
Gert
Harvey

^only Gert, Emily and Arlene had any potential to be dangerous.

It's always the women that are trouble.

 

[Minnie_the_Minx]

What's with people calling the storm "she"?

Just because they give them stupid names doesn't make them she/he

 

[Yuwipi Woman]

What's with people calling the storm "she"?

Just because they give them stupid names doesn't make them she/he

I'm sure its entirely arbitrary. I just like nudging Dilute.

 

[Minnie_the_Minx]

I'm sure its entirely arbitrary. I just like nudging Dilute.

I wasn'treferring to your or Dilute's posts

 

[Johnny Canuck3]

It's always the women that are trouble.

We were in Havana for Tropical Storm Emily. It rained really hard. We were at the Granma. All the wimpy germans and french hung in the entrance hall, staring out at the rain. Us Canadians marched out there and walked back to the hotel. We actually got pretty wet: my money was even wet. Three hours later, it was clear again.

 

[Yuwipi Woman]

We were in Havana for Tropical Storm Emily. It rained really hard. We were at the Granma. All the wimpy germans and french hung in the entrance hall, staring out at the rain. Us Canadians marched out there and walked back to the hotel. We actually got pretty wet: my money was even wet. Three hours later, it was clear again.

I bet Cuba was a great time.

I'm heading for some mountains soon.