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32,000 scientists dissent from global-warming “consensus”

bigfish

Gone fishing
At a press conference on May 19, Arthur Robinson, Ph.D., announced the release of the names of 32,000 scientists who have signed a strongly worded petition dissenting from the alarmist assertions of Al Gore and the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Fears of catastrophic human-caused global warming, requiring draconian energy rationing, are the basis for policies supported by all three leading Presidential candidates: Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, and John McCain.

Al Gore claims that “the debate is over,” and that there are only a “few” remaining “skeptics.”

“In Ph.D. scientist signers alone, the project already includes 15-times more scientists than are seriously involved in the United Nations IPCC project. The very large number of petition signers demonstrates that, if there is a consensus among American scientists, it is in opposition to the human-caused global warming hypothesis rather than in favor of it,” states Robinson. Signers include more than 9,000 Ph.Ds.

Most signatures were obtained by mailing to lists of university professors and a compendium that constitutes a “Who’s Who” of American scientists.

http://www.aapsonline.org/newsoftheday/0026
 
Is this the same 32,000 scientists who were surveying biodiversity from space in your earlier thread? Because that's a bit like stargazing whilst underground...
 
Old news, warmed up.

This is Frederick Seitz's petition - signed by Donald Duck PhD among others.

Wrong again. Wrong list. There was an earlier petition that contained a handful of moody names slipped in by unscrupulous people trying to discredit it. However, this is brand new petition with built in safeguards to prevent people with no scruples from polluting it with bogus names. For example, Big City Lib admits he tried to crash the list, but failed miserably:

http://bigcitylib.blogspot.com/2008/05/and-i-are-on-that-list.html
 
Wrong again. Wrong list. There was an earlier petition that contained a handful of moody names slipped in by unscrupulous people trying to discredit it. However, this is brand new petition with built in safeguards to prevent people with no scruples from polluting it with bogus names. For example, Big City Lib admits he tried to crash the list, but failed miserably:

http://bigcitylib.blogspot.com/2008/05/and-i-are-on-that-list.html

Sounds like a funny way for climate change skeptics to behave, a minute ago you were telling us how good pollution is for plant life :rolleyes:
 
So, er, where's the link to the new list? None at the private doctors' association that I can see.

And the one I got a press release about last week was Seitz' list. Warmed over.
 
So, er, where's the link to the new list? None at the private doctors' association that I can see.

And the one I got a press release about last week was Seitz' list. Warmed over.

You can try to disparage it all you want, but the fact is, it's a completely new list. The previous petition attracted just under 18,000 signers, whereas this latest effort has attracted 32,000 signer, 9,000 of them phd's. An increase of ~14,000.

http://www.petitionproject.org/index.html

Lawrence Solomon, a former warmer, explains:

The Oregon petition garnered an astounding 17,800 signatures, a number all the more astounding because of the unequivocal stance that these scientists took: Not only did they dispute that there was convincing evidence of harm from carbon dioxide emissions, they asserted that Kyoto itself would harm the global environment because “increases in atmospheric carbon dioxide produce many beneficial effects upon the natural plant and animal environments of the Earth.”

The petition drew media attention, but little of it was for revealing to the world that an extraordinary number of scientists hold views on global warming diametrically opposite to those they are expected to hold. Instead, the press focussed on presumed flaws that critics found in the petition. Some claimed the petition was riddled with duplicate names. They were no duplicates, just different scientists with the same name. Some claimed the petition had phonies. There was only one phony: Spice Girl Geri Halliwell, planted by a Greenpeace organization to discredit the petition and soon removed. Other names that seemed to be phony — such as Michael Fox, the actor, and Perry Mason, the fictional lawyer in a TV series — were actually bona fide scientists, properly credentialled.

Like the Heidelberg Appeal, the Oregon petition was blown away. But now it is blowing back. Original signatories to the petition and others, outraged at Kyoto’s corruption of science, wrote to the Oregon Institute and its director, Arthur Robinson, asking that the petition be brought back.

“E-mails started coming in every day,” he explained. “And they kept coming. “ The writers were outraged at the way Al Gore and company were abusing the science to their own ends. “We decided to do the survey again.”

Using a subset of the mailing list of American Men and Women of Science, a who’s who of Science, Robinson mailed out his solicitations through the postal service, requesting signed petitions of those who agreed that Kyoto was a danger to humanity. The response rate was extraordinary, “much, much higher than anyone expected, much higher than you’d ordinarily expect,” he explained. He’s processed more than 31,000 at this point, more than 9,000 of them with PhDs, and has another 1,000 or so to go — most of them are already posted on a Web site at petitionproject.org.

Why go to this immense effort all over again, when the press might well ignore the tens of thousands of scientists who are standing up against global warming alarmism?

“I hope the general public will become aware that there is no consensus on global warming,” he says, “and I hope that scientists who have been reluctant to speak up will now do so, knowing that they aren’t alone.”

http://network.nationalpost.com/np/blogs/fpcomment/archive/2008/05/16/32-000-deniers.aspx
 
Bigfish, can you point me towards any articles published by anyone who signed that list? I'd be particularly interested in any peer reviewed work - even if their field is not in climate.
 
Bigfish, can you point me towards any articles published by anyone who signed that list? I'd be particularly interested in any peer reviewed work - even if their field is not in climate.

Peer reviewed what now? 32,000 scientists can't be wrong blah blah blah PhD blah blah blah I'm right blah "blah" blah "blah" blah everyone's out to get me blah blah toxic waste is good for you blah blah blah 5% cut in emissions is pure fascism blah blah blah first they came for my industrial pollutants then they came for my children blah blah blah.
 
Old news, warmed up.

I reckon bigfish could probably find some sources to maintain that it's actually cooled down.

How many scientists does it take to establish that a consensus does not exist on global warming?” asks Lawrence Solomon (Mr Solomon's views were last quoted in a different thread by bigfish a day or so ago, and I'm starting to wonder if the man and bigfish have ever been seen together}

He reviews the history of previous petitions, including the Heidelberg Appeal, which ultimately obtained 4,000 signatures, including 72 Nobel Prize winners.

"There have been other petitions - some of them were signed by geniuses - therefore, my petition is not stupid."
 
With the precarious state of fossil fuel supplies, it's getting to be fairly academic anyway isn't it ?

Should we really be burning the stuff as fast as we can get it out of the ground ?

You know what ? - plenty of us realised that decades ago, before the research showed what a fecking mess we'd made of things.
 
Bigfish, can you point me towards any articles published by anyone who signed that list? I'd be particularly interested in any peer reviewed work - even if their field is not in climate.

It would be best if you do your own research Phil as I'm a bit busy at the moment. I can help you get started, but you're on your own after that - try searching the output of Richard Lindzen of MIT and Freeman Dyson of Princeton. Both have written on matters concerning climate and climate modeling. I'm sure there are others on the list, too.
 
1) 32,000 people made up of university professors and people on a who's who lsit of US scientists yet only 9,000 have PhDs???

To be a university professor or to get on such a who's who list you'd need a qualification beyond a PhD (i.e. a post-doctoral degree).

I'm guessing they are using a quite inclusive ratehr than exclusive defitnion of sceintist. I.e. anyone with a science-related degree or job.

2) what fields do they study in? If their qualifications do not qualify them to give any level of expert opinion on climate change it is dishonest to flaunt them in this context. It would be like asking Gridiron players on the finer points of fast bowling and using it to challeneg the consensus opinions in cricket.

I see that Arthur Robinson himslef has no qualifications that would make him an expert on the subject, him being a chemist in the field on preventive medcine

3) Do you agree with Arthur Robisnon's anti-evolutnary petions too.

4) How many of that 32,00 have the relevant qualifications to the right level to be "seriously involved" in the IPCC project. My guess would be a tiny percentage if any.
 
Well I hope there's never a petition denying gravity, we'd all float off! :D

:D

bigfish said:
http://www.petitionproject.org/

So, in a word, yes, it is Frederick Seitz' petition. As I said.

I looked up three names at random from the scrolling list - and all had the same names as signatories of previous Seitz editions. All discredited as stupid propaganda exercises.

Sorry I don't have a week to spend on a rigorous statistical analysis of the US phonebook namespace - but I call:

Old news, warmed up.
 
But even if global warming is not happening, or not caused by our activities, it is still stupid in the extreme to continue using up our resources as we've been doing.

Even if our activities are actually doing some good for the planet, it is still stupid to continue as we've been doing.

We simply cannot continue behaving like spoilt children.
 
Even if it were true that there is no global warming, we are not causing damage, we have terrific green credentials, it's nevertheless really idiotic not to make radical long term changes.

We absolutely must change our habits of endless consumption.

So your argument is pointless, absurd, spurious, narrow, shortsighted and annoying.
 
Richard Lindzen of MIT and Freeman Dyson of Princeton. Both have written on matters concerning climate and climate modeling.


But you've written on climate modelling :eek:

Lindzen: yep, your lone ace. A scientist who has had some actual experience of work in the area.

In 2001 he put his name to this: "Greenhouse gases are accumulating in Earth's atmosphere as a result of human activities, causing surface air temperatures and subsurface ocean temperatures to rise."

The world eagerly awaits news of what caused his change of heart over the following two years.

Whatever it was, it didn't affect the other 10 members of the US National Academy of Sciences panel quoted above - or the hundreds of IPCC authors with equivalent expertise.

Dyson: Quantum and nuclear physicist. Experience and expertise about as relevant to the subject as a landsape gardener's. I enjoyed his Infinite in all directions - 1988 speculations on astrophysics - in much the same way that I enjoyed Alfred Jarry's 'Pataphysics (1893).
 
And your own qualifications are what exactly?

They're actually irrelevant to be honest as no-one here is claiming expertise or putting forward the idea that they'r own views form part of a consensus of expert opinion.

When people talk about 'scientifc concensus' they're talking about a consensus of opinion of qualified individuals working in the field.

Infact even if you were to survey scientists outside of the field I would well imgagine that you probably would find a general concensus if favour of human-induced global warming. Using the very liebral defitnion of scientist 32,000 people is just a drop in the ocean. This is simply because most 'scientists' will tend to follow expert opinion fairly uncritically in fields outside their own realms of expertise.

And of course non-expert opinion seems to be divided along certain socio-poltical lines, with scientists more likely to fall into the socio-poltical groupings that favour anthrogenic global warming for a variety of reeasons. As I said before though I would not read anyhting into this either way.
My main point is though is that what is shown by the petition is meaningless and does not show what it purports to show and worst of all is dishonest. You could perfectly correctly say that scientific concensus in itself does not mean that a theory is correct. Scientific concensus is subject to change all the time. But it is worng to pretend it does not exist in this case or that this petition is somehow meant to disprove it.
 
But it is worng to pretend it does not exist in this case or that this petition is somehow meant to disprove it.

It's wrong in terms of truth-seeking, whether within the disciplines of science or of philosophy.

But US civil law is another matter.

All this "there's no cosnensus" shite is laying the grounds for defending the lawsuits :(
 
Two of the responses to the original article are apropos of many of the replies in this thread.


Frank Timmins Says:

May 21st, 2008 at 8:17 am
This is a wonderful news release. It would be nice if Drudge would pick up this story to get some further publicity. Ignorance abounds in the general population.
Daniel Weiss MD FACP PNS Says:

May 21st, 2008 at 12:23 pm
The global warming alarmists are like those repeating a “big lie” over and over. After a while many peope start believing it. The Nazis propaganda machine had this figured out as did Stalin. Dissent is crushed.

Allow a free exchange of ideas in this arena as in all areas of science. Keep those with political agendas out of this.

Let’s support dissenting voices here and not squash those who challenge the dubious claims arguing for significant “man made” contributions to warming, whatever little warming is occuring.
 
I continue to use the analogy of the 'eclipse of the sun crisis'.

In olden times, people like the Maya etc, concluded that the only way to cause the evil monster that consumed the sun at eclipse time, to spit it out again, was to tear the hearts out of living people, and offer them up as appeasement.

Similar acts of appeasement were used by various historical people to bring about the end of droughts, plagues, etc.

What happened was, the best scientific minds of their age, got together and determined that, variously, a monster was eating the sun, the gods were withholding water, or bringing about plague.

These were serious, earth changing problems, and we can assume that these thinkers put their best efforts into forming the solution of human sacrifice.

And lo and behold, it worked! The sun came back, the drought ended, the plague went away. Why? Because of the sacrifice, that's why. And you can bet that anyone who suggested that the sun would come back anyway, and that the killings weren't necessary, was shouted down as a heretic, at the very least.

So today we have another geologic occurrence, and some of our best minds want to give up another sacrifice: our economy, and possibly the basics of our civilization. They say it is imperative, and they are loud enough that they are trying to shout down anyone who naysays them.

Just like it always was!:)
 
The Oregon Petition is the name commonly given to a petition opposed to the Kyoto protocol, organized by the Oregon Institute of Science and Medicine (OISM) between 1999 and 2001. During this period the United States was negotiating with other countries on implementation of the protocol before the Bush administration withdrew from the process in 2001.[1] Former U.S. National Academy of Sciences President Frederick Seitz wrote a cover letter endorsing the petition.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Oregon_Petition



And what is your point, in any event? Someone signed it 'donald duck'?

There are names in the telephone book that were put there as a gag, but that doesn't invalidate the rest of the book as a valuable reference for telephone numbers.
 
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