dylans
overlord of all acorns
That theory has been tested to destruction though - it didnt work even when the Arab states were far more militarily powerful, and Israel far weaker, than it is now. There are also a lot more physical barriers - not only the wall, but also the increased number of settlements - to prevent a third intifada from being a success.
This is why I think the PA's approach is actually quite a good one - it puts the US on the spot, highlights their hypocritical behaviour when it comes to peace talks, and (most importantly IMHO) forces the current Israeli government to take a decision on something - given that this government is quite possibly their worst in recent history, this probably means that Bibi et al will make the wrong decision and will further worsen Israel's position domestically, regionally and in the world in general. It is gesture politics, but this is perhaps a time for gesture politics.
On your first point. Actually it hasn't been tested, not really. The PLO has never put its trust or faith in the Arab populations or tried to mobilise the Arab masses across the region. Instead Palestinian resistance has either relied on building relations with Arab leaders and governments who all to often mouth platitudes and do nothing or it has relied on elitist guerrillaism. The one force that has rarely been mobilised is the one force that is presently shaking the region, the power of the Arab populations themselves.
On your second point. The UN bid makes sense if, as Abbas and the PA do, you think that bilateral negotiations are worthwhile. That the deadlock in negotiations is only one of finding the right path between two antagonists who both equally desire a just settlement. As I pointed out in my last post, the entire process is about strengthening the Palestinian's hand ahead of a resumption of negotiations. This is also the reason the US and Israel are throwing a fit about it. The Israelis and the US hope that by making a big deal out of this bid they will force the PA to back down and to resume negotiations without Israel having to make a commitment to stop or even suspend settlement building. Remember, the issue of the continued expansion of settlements is the issue that finally forced the PA to walk out of bilateral talks and to seek UN recognition. By bullying Abbas to accept less than full statehood and to return to the negotiating table, the US and Israel hope Abbas can return to the West Bank claiming he kept his word by breaking the deadlock over negotiations and resume his seat at the table while settlement expansion continues apace. This is why the US continually cites the need for a negotiated settlement and urges a return to negotiations as the principle reason for threatening to veto the statehood bid. which it defines as unilateral ie a declaration of statehood not made through negotiations.
However, if, as I do, you think that negotiations are a fraud, a cloak to conceal Israel's continued colonisation of the West Bank then the conclusion must be that Israel really does not want a comprehensive peace settlement of any kind but instead wants to inflict a comprehensive defeat, then all moves towards negotiations are not only pointless but are treasonous because they assist Israel in its relentless annihilation of the Palestinian people. Why give respectability to a duplicitous process that aims to cover Israel's true intentions? The only response then, to ethnic cleansing and forced colonisation is resistance not negotiation and the only debate is about the most effective form of that resistance. I am suggesting that the crisis sweeping the Arab world creates a unique opportunity for Palestinians to put their struggle at the very heart of the Arab spring at a time when Israel is more isolated than at any time in its recent history and that means turning their back on both pointless negotiations and meaningless diplomatic recognition and instead unleashing the enormous power of the Arab masses across the region to force Israel to accept a just settlement that gives Palestinians their national and democratic rights