Local Elections May 5th 2022

[maomao]

My polling station is a three quarter mile walk in the opposite direction from the train station. Don't know if I can be arsed just to draw a picture of a penis. I let my daughter vote for me to spice things up last time but doubt she'll be up for the walk (plus I don't know how good she is at drawing penises).

 

[a_chap]

In law, but not yet in action...

View attachment 321245
https://commonslibrary.parliament.uk/research-briefings/cbp-9187/

Jesus. Did no-one think to point out that not everyone has photo ID?

I'm guessing they did...


More importantly though: how the hell did I miss the media furore surrounding this piece of proto-fascist legislation? The protest marches. The mass civil disobedience. How did I miss all that???

 

[AmateurAgitator]

Jesus. Did no-one think to point out that not everyone has photo ID?

I'm guessing they did...


More importantly though: how the hell did I miss the media furore surrounding this piece of proto-fascist legislation? The protest marches. The mass civil disobedience. How did I miss all that???

Its as if theres no point in voting isn't it.

 

[Gerry1time]

My polling station is a three quarter mile walk in the opposite direction from the train station. Don't know if I can be arsed just to draw a picture of a penis.

That's disappointing man. Big veiny cocks with all spunk coming out the end don't just draw themselves, especially not on election day. This is Britain! We must uphold our traditional election values! Even if it were a ten mile walk in sideways freezing rain, I'd still be battling through the storm to inscribe a big fat chunky purple headed womb broom on my ballot paper. With three lines eminating from the crown. It's a sacred right our forefathers laid down their lives to preserve for future generations.

 

[The39thStep]

So in terms of ballpark gains/losses what are posters predictions for Tories, Labour, Lib Dems/ Greens, SNP and PC?

 

[_Russ_]

Im not expecting anywhere near the devastation to the knob party as some, did my vote by post last week and voted tactically for Labour

 

[_Russ_]

Most people dont care anywhere near as much as they pretend to when confronted with a blunt question or poll, its all just piss and wind

 

[killer b]

So in terms of ballpark gains/losses what are posters predictions for Tories, Labour, Lib Dems/ Greens, SNP and PC?

Britain Elects have these forecasts, which look ok to me - they're forecasting a loss of seats for Labour in England outside London, which would be funny.

 

[cupid_stunt]

Just reading some reports this morning, the theme seems to be if the Tories lose up to 300 seats they will probably ride it out, more than that and the are in troubled waters, anything north of 400 would be a complete disaster, as they are only defending 1,800 seats, so unlikely.

Back here in Worthing, Labour only needs to gain one seat from the Tories or the LDs to be the largest party, but would need support from the 2 LDs, or possibly only 1 LD if they lose the seat they are defending. If Labour picks up 2 seats from the Tories and/or 1 from the Tories and the single LD seat up for election, they end up with 19 and an overall majority.

In my ward, the Tories are defending two seats, the one due this year and the other because of a resignation. Yesterday I had a Labour flyer delivered pointing out there was only 76 votes in it last year, so that's how close they are to getting both seats in this ward. Not sure that flyer was a good idea for Labour, pointing out how close it is could motivate Tory voters that were planning to sit this one out, to actually vote after all.

It certainly makes the election here interesting, unlike the pervious 20+ years I've been in the area.

They don't count overnight for council elections here, and because of the fully shared services across the two councils, they normally count votes for Adur District Council first, so it'll be a long wait on Friday before the Worthing Borough Council results are finally declared.

 

[Elpenor]

If they don’t count overnight why are bbc broadcasting through the night?

 

[cupid_stunt]

If they don’t count overnight why are bbc broadcasting through the night?

I've edited it - 'They don't count overnight for council elections here.'

Other areas do.

 

[moochedit]

If they don’t count overnight why are bbc broadcasting through the night?

Think it depends on the council. Some count overnight and some wait til the morning.

 

[killer b]

They do count overnight in some places.

 

[chilango]

So in terms of ballpark gains/losses what are posters predictions for Tories, Labour, Lib Dems/ Greens, SNP and PC?

I think the link killer b shared is about right.

I don't think there will be any seismic national shifts.

The Tories will lose seats, maybe a few councils but nothing catastrophic. They may well pick up some odd seats to compensate.

Labour will be all over the shop. Some big, localised, successes. Some big, localised defeats but mostly a wave of indifference and stays quo on a declining share and turnout.

Lib Dems will concentrate on a handful of "strongholds" and might pick up a few seats accidentally too.

Greens will do well, everywhere.

No idea about Scotland/Wales.

 

[cupid_stunt]

Here's a handy time-line to when results are due -

Local elections 2022: When to expect the results

Results will begin trickling in from the early hours of Friday morning

www.independent.co.uk

Surprisingly they put Worthing between 2-3pm and Adur between 4-6pm, which suggests they have swapped the shared count around this year, possibly because of the 'excitement' over the Worthing result, whereas there's no way the Tories will lose Adur district.

 

[chilango]

As always, I'm most interested to see how the random minor parties do.

 

[The39thStep]

Britain Elects have these forecasts, which look ok to me - they're forecasting a loss of seats for Labour in England outside London, which would be funny.

View attachment 321250

Saw a bit on Sky news which forecast Labour to do well in London making possible gains but showing the North as possible losses

 

[cupid_stunt]

As always, I'm most interested to see how the random minor parties do.

I am looking forward to laughing at how few votes goes to the guy standing here under the banner of 'Freedom Alliance. Stop the Great Reset.'

 

[The39thStep]

As always, I'm most interested to see how the random minor parties do.

Radcliffe First in Bury

 

[The39thStep]

Britain First have Ashlea Simons (Treasurer of Britain First, Paul Gouldings partner and James Goddards ex partner) standing in Walkden, Salford.

 

[Pickman's model]

As always, I'm most interested to see how the random minor parties do.

https://www.urban75.net/forums/threads/minor-party-electoral-records.18766/

 

[a_chap]

Britain Elects have these forecasts, which look ok to me - they're forecasting a loss of seats for Labour in England outside London, which would be funny.

View attachment 321250

Surely, that's the best result...?

 

[moochedit]

I am looking forward to laughing at how few votes goes to the guy standing here under the banner of 'Freedom Alliance. Stop the Great Reset.'

Is it njd?

 

[cupid_stunt]

Electoral Calculus is forecasting the Tories to lose 548 seats in England & Wales.

Local Election Poll April 2022

www.electoralcalculus.co.uk

 

[Ax^]

As always, I'm most interested to see how the random minor parties do.

where lord bin head atm

 

[ruffneck23]

where lord bin head atm

Here:

 

[not a trot]

Im not expecting anywhere near the devastation to the knob party as some, did my vote by post last week and voted tactically for Labour

Only two candidates in my ward. Labour guy doesn't expect to take back the seat he lost last time. As he say's, the Nepalese community all vote Tory, as one of them is the sitting candidate.

 

[farmerbarleymow]

Only two candidates in my ward.

Four standing in mine - labour, libdem, green and the cunt party.

 

[Bus Honeygun]

Just opened the door to find two Britain First flyers on the mat. If that isn't an incentive to go out and vote, I don't know what else could be.

 

[Fozzie Bear]

Looks like the Tories are not running candidates, or are only running one candidate in some wards in Hackney. I think this is probably a tactic to get some Greens or Lib Dems on the council, which is pretty much all Labour.

There's been a big effort in Stamford Hill West to get rid of the two Tory councillors here, who are both Orthodox Jews that are largely invisible to the rest of the community. One of them had to step down due to a mysterious illness that manifested itself after he made a bizarre homophobic outburst that got quoted in the local press.