The UK car industry's probably fucked.
The UK car industry's probably fucked.
Sad news for the workers.
By all accounts they are moving production to Japan, because of the trade deal with the EU means tariffs are being reduced to zero for importing cars from Japan, so no need for a European production base.
Yes.
It has just gotten cheaper to make in Japan and export to the EU.
While it is likely getting more expensive to make in UK and export to the EU.
It seems quite likely at the moment that the UK will crash out of the EU without a deal, which means returning to WTO rules and under WTO rules my understanding is that there will be tariffs...
Your second point is a massive overreach. Where are tariffs between the UK and Europe proposed?
I don't know what proportion of Honda Swindon's output was diesel.Finally, the bottom has dropped out of the diesel car market in the UK. This problem haunts JLR too. The press stories I’ve seen skip over this basic supply and demand reality
Nope you are going to have to tell me...
Diesel is also a bobbins excuse. Just think about it for about two seconds.
Noone knows what it'll cost to export from the UK to the EU because noone in charge has a fucking clue. Porsche apparently think it might be 10% as that's what they're asking customers to agree to in potential surcharges.
The EU/JP FTA (which the UK govt voted for) enables movement, it doesn’t cause it. Honda manufacturing doesn't magically all come home to Japan if all costs are made equal.
Diesel is also a bobbins excuse. Just think about it for about two seconds.
So.. what about about the B word? Was this a Brexit or no Brexit decision? Sounds like more of a global production decision to consolidate in Japan (fuck the environment obviously - shows how little these companies really care).
Imagine you are a thousand years old and clinically dead. At the start of each and every week you crash your automatic diesel Honda Civic into the bollards protecting the entrance to Home Bargains, writing it off, and you buy a new automatic diesel Honda Civic. But wait! This week it turns out diesel is the great Satan and Honest John of The Daily Telegraph says you shouldn't buy one any more. What could you possibly buy instead?Nope you are going to have to tell me
It wasn't called Beige it was called Bold as Brass, I had a 1.8L Morris Marina in that colour, I was driving along the road one when the sump pan literally just fell off the bottom of the engine, you don't getBring back British Leyland. Kids these days don't know they're born with all these satnavs and climate controls and reversing cameras and wing mirrors that have better heating systems than my house. We need to get back to the good old days of rattling about in cars that are more gap than panel, that will only start in ambient temperatures between 14 and 17 degrees celsius, cars you can have in any colour you like as long as it's beige. We need to get back to the times when every completed car journey came with a sense of joy and wonderment at the simple fact you'd survived.
Ok, but I didn't myself mention diesel as a reason for Honda closing.Imagine you are a thousand years old and clinically dead. At the start of each and every week you crash your automatic diesel Honda Civic into the bollards protecting the entrance to Home Bargains, writing it off, and you buy a new automatic diesel Honda Civic. But wait! This week it turns out diesel is the great Satan and Honest John of The Daily Telegraph says you shouldn't buy one any more. What could you possibly buy instead?
[ ] an automatic petrol Honda Civic
[ ] an automatic petrol Honda Civic
[ ] an automatic petrol Honda Civic
[ ] an automatic petrol Honda Civic
[ ] Leave the European Union
[ ] an automatic petrol Honda Civic
JLR make products - SUVs and big cars - that are or were strongly oriented towards diesel powertrains, as was standard in the sector, and were slow in making competitive petrol or hybrid offerings available. Honda make mostly small cars that are offered with a range of powertrains, often petrol. Their lacklustre sales are much more because they operate in an abandoned middle price point, neither cheap nor premium.Ok, but I didn't myself mention diesel as a reason for Honda closing.
They might have been caught out by its decline though, as JLR etc also were.
There's a benefit to globally distributed manufacturing, given the effect of currency fluctuations on export prices, so concentration of all Honda manufacturing in Japan - an expensive economy - isn't exactly an automatic outcome. I could be wrong but AFAIK all 5 door Civics sold globally, including in Japan, are made in Swindon. That or some parallel has been the case for years. The FTA removes the tariff-driven reasoning for local presence but it doesn't make Japanese production suddenly a great idea, especially not if there's capital expense to relocate. However if you do expect to be subject to tariffs, because you're in the UK with no trade deal, it is absolutely time to fuck off.Of course it’s a shit excuse but they can’t just say capital flight can they?
Your point about the free trade agreement is however definitely ‘bobbins’. The whole point of it is to cause precisely this type of movement.
There's a benefit to globally distributed manufacturing, given the effect of currency fluctuations on export prices, so concentration of all Honda manufacturing in Japan - an expensive economy - isn't exactly an automatic outcome. I could be wrong but AFAIK all 5 door Civics sold globally, including in Japan, are made in Swindon. That or some parallel has been the case for years. The FTA removes the tariff-driven reasoning for local presence but it doesn't make Japanese production suddenly a great idea, especially not if there's capital expense to relocate. However if you do expect to be subject to tariffs, because you're in the UK with no trade deal, it is absolutely time to fuck off.
You can argue the toss on all of this, and people will for each and every closure. But when the industry in its entirety - which was successful and growing - is gone from the UK, it'll be easy to point at before & after Brexit, and hard to claim "would have happened anyway". It's not like there's no FTA precedent elsewhere (or one for diesel for that matter). For example NAFTA spread US vehicle production slightly across the continent but it certainly didn't kill it. In a couple of years it looks like Britain will be done making cars again.
Bring back British Leyland. Kids these days don't know they're born with all these satnavs and climate controls and reversing cameras and wing mirrors that have better heating systems than my house. We need to get back to the good old days of rattling about in cars that are more gap than panel, that will only start in ambient temperatures between 14 and 17 degrees celsius, cars you can have in any colour you like as long as it's beige. We need to get back to the times when every completed car journey came with a sense of joy and wonderment at the simple fact you'd survived.
Terrible news. Fingers crossed they can get another car producer to take the site over. My civic was built there so increasingly feels like a part of history now!
So.. what about about the B word? Was this a Brexit or no Brexit decision? Sounds like more of a global production decision to consolidate in Japan (fuck the environment obviously - shows how little these companies really care).
It's not 162k, which may be directly employed, it's 850+k employed in jobs in or dependent on automotive in the UK. The historical figures aren't comparable either because of the shift from marque manufacturer to supplier.
You've done this before but you seem to want present UK automotive as in terminal decline since British fucking Leyland, and you are massively wrong. In the context of everything that's happened to manufacturing and the UK economy, it's been a major modern success and now it's probably fucked, and it was not a given that this happened.