Toto Wolff and Liberty Media
Let me give you some "newspaper facts", Toto owns 30% of Mercedes F1 (and Niki Lauda owns 10%, both are subject to a "pull option" meaning if they leave the team Mercedes can buy back their shares). Toto is out of contract with Mercedes at the end of the 2020 season. Mercedes CEO Dieter Zetsche will soon step down from his role to be replaced by Ola Kallenius. It is rumored that Ola Kallenius isn't a massive fan of F1 and has said publicly that Mercedes should be more involved in Formula E. It is also rumored that Toto and Ola relationship is not the most healthy. There is going to be a new Concorde agreement in place for the 2021 season.
Chase Carey was due to step down as CEO at the end of the 2019 season, but signed a 12-month extension to help with the transition towards the new regulations coming into effect in 2021. Carey is both Chairman and CEO of Liberty Media and while he is expected to give up the of CEO after the 1 year extension he is going to remain Chairman post 2020.
Could it be that Toto Wolff takes over the roll of CEO at Liberty? As there will be little driver movement at the end of the season, with all the top drivers being under contract for 2020 (except Bottas but his place is likely to go to Ocon if there is a change at Mercedes), the silly season will not have much to talk about, so I think this story will be all over the press during the summer.
Spanish Grand Prix team upgrades
What do we know so far from press reports;
Ferrari
Four straight defeats to Mercedes has left Ferrari 74 points adrift in the constructors' championship while Sebastian Vettel is 35 shy in the drivers' standings. Even with 17 races remaining, those numbers are big, especially as Mercedes has shown few weaknesses and, so far, Ferrari has looked less reliable. It's not game over by any means, but the Italian team desperately needs a win. Ferrari were planning to have an upgraded power-unit for the Canadian race in 4 weeks time, but they are bringing it this weekend for the race in Barcelona. It will be combined with upgraded oil from supplier Shell. For Ferrari to make such a big change in its planning, the new power-unit must be putting out very promising numbers on the dyno. More aerodynamic upgrades will follow to add to the new turning vanes, barge boards and floor the team brought to Baku.
The most frustrating thing about Ferrari's first four races of 2019 is that the car is clearly better than the results suggest. Mistakes from both the drivers and team have proved hugely costly and pure pace victories were possible in Bahrain and Baku.The season is only four races old, but it's not an exaggeration to say Spain is a must win for Ferrari. This was the location where the Ferrari looked every bit a world-beater in preseason testing and if it can't edge ahead of Mercedes this weekend, the hope of it doing so consistently over the rest of season takes a big hit. The team is clearly pushing hard, it managed to bring a sizable upgrade package to Baku but Mercedes is not standing still and is planning upgrades of its own for Spain.
Red Bull
Another winter, another start to the season off the pace of Mercedes and Ferrari. There were big changes at Red Bull as it switched to Honda power during the off-season and perhaps this was always going to be a development year. But it's still disappointing to see a team like Red Bull, and a driver like Max Verstappen, off the pace. Unlike previous years, Red Bull says its Spanish GP update package is relatively small. Whether we should believe that or not, we will find out in Barcelona. Keep an eye out for a new motorhome in the paddock though.
The main concern for Red Bull ahead of the year was how Honda would perform, but the Japanese manufacturer has made a solid start. If anything, the concern switched to the chassis side at the opening few races and it was only in Baku that the team really started to extract something closer to true performance. But Baku was still a power track, so seeing the Red Bull on a circuit like Barcelona, which rewards a strong aero package, should provide a better indication of how it will perform over the rest of the season.
Renault
We are now in the fourth season of Renault's five-year plan and it was meant to be the one where it closed the gap to the top three. But despite significant investment in its headquarters over the last few years, it has not yielded the results the team was expecting on track. And with one of the most exciting driver line-ups on the grid, the team can only look internally for what is going wrong. The team claims to have a number of reasonable upgrades that are positive. They will include front wing upgrades, changes to the rear of the car and some mechanical tweaks to help the drivers find the right balance.
After finishing fourth last year, Renault should have been aiming to close the gap to the top three teams. By almost every measure they have failed in that goal at the opening four races while also encountering continued reliability concerns with the MGU-K. Perhaps most worrying of all is the team's performance relative to customer teams like McLaren. We shouldn't play down McLaren's recovery over the winter, but when you consider where the two teams were at the end of last year, Renault appears to have fallen behind.
Haas
Haas showed promising pace throughout preseason testing but has struggled to realise that in races due to problems maintaining tyre temperature. Pirelli's 2019 tyres have a thinner tread than previous years and that makes it harder to retain the necessary temperature to get the compound working. Oddly, Haas seems to be struggling more than most to find the right setup to combat the issue. A fresh delivery of new bodywork parts will come from chassis manufacturer Dallara this weekend and not a moment too soon. Romain Grosjean has suggested something verging on a B-car but a more detailed list of the new parts clams it is, the front wing, the floor and a lot of the smaller parts, like mirrors. It's a quite significant upgrade.
The Haas problem is very specific and if they can find a solution to keep the temperature in the tyres then it should unlock a lot of performance very quickly. Haas are not alone in struggling with the 2019 rubber, but perhaps the team's lack of simulation tools compared to its rivals has made it difficult to find a solution. The drivers report that the problem escalates rapidly after a handful of laps as the tyre surface starts to grain and performance and temperature spirals downwards. On the plus side, Barcelona is a high-energy circuit, which combined with sunny weather, should make it much easier to generate and retain temperature. However, Haas will still be keen to find a long-term solution with the low-energy tracks of Monaco and Canada following in quick succession.
Williams
Where to start? In testing the team missed the opening two days when the car turned up late and it has been playing catch-up ever since. That wouldn't be a disaster if the car was quick, but as of qualifying in Baku it was still five seconds off the ultimate pace. The team says it has a number of test items for Spain but will only focus on ones that offer an advantage for this weekend on Friday before completing some tests focused on longer-term performance at the two days of testing after the race.
One round of updates is not going to come close to solving Williams' problems, but a positive step towards the back of the midfield is essential to keep spirits high at the team. The updates that come in Spain will be ones developed earlier in the season/pre-season and will not necessarily represent the reshuffle going on at the team under returning technical boss Patrick Head. In George Russell the team at least has a shining light who is likely to get the most from the car in what remains a very difficult situation.