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32,000 scientists dissent from global-warming “consensus”

... Jennifer Marohasey works for an energy sector funded think tank - IPA - funded by Monsanto, Exxon, Philip Morris (Tobacco) blah, blah, blah.

http://www.desmogblog.com/another-questionable-friend-of-the-friends-of-science

The top financial benefactor of the DeSmog Blog, John Lefebvre, was convicted for money-laundering recently in the United States, where he faces up to 20 years in jail. Another force behind the bog is James Hoggan, owner of a public relations company and a strident environmental activist. He is chairman of the Board for the David Suzuki Foundation. So your source is highly suspect, biased and unreliable.

Why would bigfish attempt to conceal his sources? Is it because he doesn't want it to be obvious that he's drawing his refutations from energy-sector funded think tanks?

But I haven't attempted to concealed my sources. The Jennifer Morohasey and Sea Friends sites are both linked above - which is an odd way of concealing sources, don't you think?
 
The top financial benefactor of the DeSmog Blog, John Lefebvre, was convicted for money-laundering recently in the United States, where he faces up to 20 years in jail.
Odd that US law allows the transfer of gambling funds raised by Moskowitz's bingo to fund illegal settlements in Israel (http://www.stopmoskowitz.org, http://www.stopmoskowitz.org/gamble.pdf, http://www.jewsonfirst.org), yet doesn't allow US citizens to gamble with overseas gambling companies - which is where the money-laundering charge comes in, because Lefebvre's firm provided a money-transfer service. The law clearly states that the transferring of the proceeds from these online-gambling businesses to overseas gambling providers are illegal under United States law", yet allows the proceeds of legal bingo to be transferred overseas to build illegal settlements in defiance of the Israeli-Palestinian peace process that it's own government swore to uphold. The law, is obviously selective about who it prosecutes.
Lefrebvre won't be going to jail anyway: http://www.casinogamblingweb.com/ga...s_guilty_in_internet_gambling_case_46785.html
http://www.theregister.co.uk/2007/0....co.uk/2007/01/17/neteller_founders_arrested/

Another force behind the bog is James Hoggan, owner of a public relations company and a strident environmental activist. He is chairman of the Board for the David Suzuki Foundation. So your source is highly suspect and unreliable.
How strange that a hippy millionaire and a chairman of an Environmental NGO, founded by remarkably dedicated and well-known scientist David Takayoshi Suzuki, should be somehow render the information on Marohasy and IPA should be considered 'highly suspect and unreliable' because they contribute/fund to 'desmogblog'. Good job they did, because otherwise we'd not know about Marohasy/IPA's energy-sector funding to refute the science of climate change or their attempts to deny Aboriginal self-determination.
But I haven't attempted to concealed my sources. The Jennifer Marohasy and Sea Friends sites are both linked above - which is an odd way of concealing sources, don't you think?
Here's your post: http://www.urban75.net/vbulletin/showpost.php?p=7749799&postcount=583
As anyone who clicks can see - you made no reference to the Marohasey's blog nor the link from Marohasey's blog to the website which the graph/info came from. Almost word for word is plagiarised without source, and yet you claim you linked and sourced what you wrote - you did no such thing. Barefaced lies from bigfish.
 
Well, It's probably been said before. I really cant be arsed to read through 11 pages of stuff to get here, but:

Which 38,000 scientists? are they all climatologists? I'm a published scientist but I wouldnt have the faintest idea how to interpret climatology data. My area is neuroscience. What fields are these scientists working in? How do we know they have any idea what they are on about? How many other equally unqualified scientists in this field, out of millions, like myself, do not feel this way?

Just cos someone says they are a scientist doesnt mean they actually know anything about a given subject...
 
Well, It's probably been said before. I really cant be arsed to read through 11 pages of stuff to get here, but:

Which 38,000 scientists? are they all climatologists? <snip>.
Nope, only about three of them are as far as I can identify.

Also, only 9000 of these alleged scientists also claim to have PhD's.
 
11-07-2008, 16:34
Signal 11 Signal 11 is offline
Poll! :mad:

Join Date: Mar 2004
Location: Midlands
Posts: 718



Originally Posted by Johnny Canuck2 View Post
but as we know, it really means higher nighttime and winter temperatures, for the most part.

I've already asked you for a source for that.

This implies a positive shift in the distribution of daily minimum temperature throughout the globe. Daily maximum temperature indices showed similar changes but with smaller magnitudes.

L. V. Alexander

Hadley Centre, Met Office, Exeter, UK

http://www.agu.org/pubs/crossref/2006/2005JD006290.shtml

It is clear from the observed record that there has been
an increase in the global mean temperature of about
0.6°C since the start of the twentieth century (Nicholls
et al. 1996), and that this increase is associated with a
stronger warming in daily minimum temperatures
than maximums (Easterling et al. 1997).

http://209.85.173.104/search?q=cach...+trends+extreme+2000&hl=en&ct=clnk&cd=1&gl=ca


New data acquisitions are used to examine recent global trends in maximum temperature, minimum temperature, and the diurnal temperature range (DTR). On average, the analysis covers the equivalent of 71% of the total global land area, 17% more than in previous studies. Consistent with the IPCC Third Assessment Report, minimum temperature increased more rapidly than maximum temperature (0.204 vs. 0.141°C dec−1) from 1950–2004, resulting in a significant DTR decrease (−0.066°C dec−1)

http://www.agu.org/pubs/crossref/2005/2005GL024379.shtml



http://www.int-res.com/articles/cr/14/c014p001.pdf
 
Source please.

Warmer water can hold less of any gas. This is a basic scientific fact. Do I really need to provide a source for this basic piece of scientific knowledge? :eek:

The whole premise of climate change is that increased CO2 is causing the planet to warm up so of course releasing CO2 from the oceans will cause a positive feedback unless you're claiming that CO2 has different physical properties to anthropogenic atmospheric CO2. :eek::eek::D
 
Originally Posted by tangentlama said:
Source please.
WouldBe said:
Warmer water can hold less of any gas. This is a basic scientific fact. Do I really need to provide a source for this basic piece of scientific knowledge?

The whole premise of climate change is that increased CO2 is causing the planet to warm up so of course releasing CO2 from the oceans will cause a positive feedback unless you're claiming that CO2 has different physical properties to anthropogenic atmospheric CO2.

:hmm: Something odd going on here.
Let's break this down.
This is how the conversation went.

I said this in repy to bigfish: http://www.urban75.net/vbulletin/showpost.php?p=7754980&postcount=626


You replied only to one part:
Originally Posted by tangentlama post 626 said:
These look like a reverse of 'CO2 driver theory i.e. that temperature drives CO2 (never heard of that before).

WouldBe said:
Funny that but climatologists keep stating that warming oceans will release more CO2. This is a fundamental part of the positive feedback that climatologists are so worried about.

However, post 626 addresses bigfish's claim (post 610) that climate modellers use 'CO2 driver theory': (post 610).

Here's the sum of my reply to him in post 626: http://www.urban75.net/vbulletin/showpost.php?p=7754980&postcount=626. I'll say it again: My understanding is that the relationship between CO2 and temperature (i.e. air + sea temperature) is correlational.
And again:
tangentlama post 626 said:
ln the papers I've read, the correlation between C02 levels and temperature has been discussed, but I have never read anywhere that 'CO2 drives temperature change' (CO2 driver theory).
bigfish asks me to prove that CO2 and temp are correlational with a graph (someone else replies on my behalf with accurate info).

Also, and note this please, bigfish's premise appears to be (wait for it) a one-way CO2 driver theory (see http://www.urban75.net/vbulletin/showpost.php?p=7755210&postcount=637) or when he's anti-IPCC, a one-way Temp driver theory - where the only info we have shows a correlation between temp and C02, but not causation per se.

Back to WouldBe, who then replied to my post 626, selecting only one part of what I'd written to bigfish, and appearing to support bigfish's post which claims that CO2 driver theory is being used by IPCC with a statement about the 'ocean/ocean-bed part in the CO2-sink/release cycle'

So I made a reply to WouldBe in post 629:
tangentlama said:
I think the oceans are a key factor in the whole cycle.

Water is the biggest carbon-sink after atmosphere, vegetation/landmass.

My small scientific brain is telling me there's probably a maximum CO2 saturation point for the ocean that affects the ocean/atmospheric C02-temp relationship in a dramatic way - for example - increasing acidification of the oceans via C02-absorption could explain mass extinctions of ocean fauna and flora at the end of the Cambrian Period (which trilobites survived, only to disappear the end of the Permian Period).

I really ought to read up on it at some point.

Back to anthropogenic influence on climate change. We're right to be worried, and right to be concerned about human-caused change to the environment. Our effluence and air-pollution is changing the environment - that much we do know. Humankind and the plants/animals we like to eat prefer a certain type of environment, and we ought to do everything within our power to ensure we keep the water and land and air as clean as is humanly possible.
Later on in the thread, and because WouldBe never engaged with my reply in post 629, I then asked WouldBe to provide a source, just in case I had misunderstood WouldBe, noting lack of response to my reply (629). (Also, I was concerned whether WouldBe's apparent trend of leaping in to defend bigfish is any way connected to employees of energy-sector, because that's where bigfish gets most of his information from).

Now to address WouldBe's current reply:
WouldBe said:
The whole premise of climate change is that increased CO2 is causing the planet to warm up so of course releasing CO2 from the oceans will cause a positive feedback
I'm quite sure that the WHOLE PREMISE of climate change is not focused only on CO2.
unless you're claiming that CO2 has different physical properties to anthropogenic atmospheric CO2. :eek::eek::D
Is that what you claim?
Warmer water can hold less of any gas. This is a basic scientific fact. Do I really need to provide a source for this basic piece of scientific knowledge? :eek:
No. You don't need to, but the ocean is not so simple, and ocean life/ocean-bed also acts as a sink for co2, which doesn't release in the same way as the warming of ocean itself would.

ANyway, I'm sure the reader would like a clear description of this process anyway, for educational purposes.
tangentlama said:
WouldBe said:
Funny that but climatologists keep stating that warming oceans will release more CO2. This is a fundamental part of the positive feedback that climatologists are so worried about.
But bigfish was claiming that the IPCC models used a one-way CO2 driver-theory.

Anyway, if you really want to, WouldBe, you can provide sources for the reader (for educational purposes) on:
1) Climatologists stating that warm oceans release more CO2 and that cool oceans absorb more CO2. (This is fact, and I'm not querying the oceanic sink/release cycle)
 
Thing is, it's possible to cut and paste crap from random Exxon PR / fruitcake sites faster than it's possible to explain why they are misinterpreting / lying about the science, or why what they are saying isn't the whole story.

It's like a denial of service attack where you send broken packets to a server and the server always takes more time to figure out what to do about them than it takes to generate another broken packet.

To be fair, WouldBe is a bit different and seems to make up his own broken packets rather than getting them from Exxon / Spiked Online PR outlets, so I think his stuff is maybe a bit more worth responding to if you have the patience which I personally don't at the moment.

Excellent interpretation, especially the 'broken packets' - I like that :)
 
[snipped]
All three of those quotes say that the increase in nighttime temperature was greater than the increase in daytime temperature, which is not what you said. If we include the parts that you did not quote, it's also clear that that is no longer the case.

Consistent with the IPCC Third Assessment Report, minimum temperature increased more rapidly than maximum temperature (0.204 vs. 0.141°C dec−1) from 1950–2004, resulting in a significant DTR decrease (−0.066°C dec−1). In contrast, there were comparable increases in minimum and maximum temperature (0.295 vs. 0.287°C dec−1) from 1979–2004, muting recent DTR trends (−0.001°C dec−1). Minimum and maximum temperature increased in almost all parts of the globe during both periods, whereas a widespread decrease in the DTR was only evident from 1950–1980.
http://www.agu.org/pubs/crossref/2005/2005GL024379.shtml

Same thing from the IPCC...
This implies a positive shift in the distribution of daily minimum temperature Tmin throughout the globe. Changes in the occurrence of cold and warm days show warming as well, but generally less marked. This is consistent with Tmin increasing more than maximum temperature Tmax, leading to a reduction in DTR since 1951 (see Sections 3.2.2.1 and 3.2.2.7). The change in the four extremes indices (Table 3.6) also show that the distribution of Tmin and Tmax have not only shifted, but also changed in shape. The indices for the number of cold and warm events have changed almost equally, which for a near-Gaussian distributed quantity indicates that the cold tails of the distributions have warmed considerably more than the warm tails over the last 50 years. Considering the last 25 years only, such a change in shape is not seen (Table 3.6).
http://www.eoearth.org/article/IPCC_Fourth_Assessment_Report,_Working_Group_I:_Chapter_3

Are you going to provide the other sources I asked for, or not?
 
Warmer water can hold less of any gas. This is a basic scientific fact. Do I really need to provide a source for this basic piece of scientific knowledge? :eek:

Forget it, WouldBe. I'll provide a source for the Oceanic carbon cycle.

Great article here: http://harvardmagazine.com/2002/11/the-ocean-carbon-cycle.html

The whole premise of climate change is that increased CO2 is causing the planet to warm up so of course releasing CO2 from the oceans will cause a positive feedback unless you're claiming that CO2 has different physical properties to anthropogenic atmospheric CO2. :eek::eek::D
I'll claim that oceanic CO2 behaves very differently to atmospheric CO2. (See article above)
 
All three of those quotes say that the increase in nighttime temperature was greater than the increase in daytime temperature, which is not what you said. If we include the parts that you did not quote, it's also clear that that is no longer the case.


http://www.agu.org/pubs/crossref/2005/2005GL024379.shtml

Same thing from the IPCC...

http://www.eoearth.org/article/IPCC_Fourth_Assessment_Report,_Working_Group_I:_Chapter_3

Are you going to provide the other sources I asked for, or not?

But the typical argument is for a 'warming trend' over the last century. If we tease out this daily minimum increase, what is the true daily maximum increase from the past 25 years, and why has it never been publicized that up until the last 25 years at best, this has been the case?
 
Signal 11: you're correct that the IPCC didn't predict a sea level rise of 7 feet back in the 80s.

It was the EPA.

In October 1987, Richard Morgenstern of the US EPA spoke on 'Implications of climate change for environmental policy making' at the conference 'Preparing for Climate Change' which was sponsored by the World Resource Institute, UNEP, the US National Science Foundation and 12 other US-based organisations.

He said that there was 'an emerging concensus that the global warming could result in a rise in sea level on the order of two to seven feet by 2100', and cited multi-authored books that had appeared in 1983, 1985 and 1987.

http://www.jennifermarohasy.com/blog/archives/001359.html
 
But the typical argument is for a 'warming trend' over the last century.
I'm not going to defend any of your straw man "typical arguments". :rolleyes: Specify precisely to which argument you refer.

If we tease out this daily minimum increase, what is the true daily maximum increase from the past 25 years
If you think it's anything other than what the IPCC says, provide evidence to support your claim.

and why has it never been publicized that up until the last 25 years at best, this has been the case?
I've just quoted it from the IPCC report. What point are you trying to make with this?
 
Re: predictions that NY etc would be under water:

GLOBAL warming could be on the verge of triggering a rise in sea levels that would flood huge swathes of the Earth's most densely populated regions, says an unpublished report from the world's top climate scientists.

Caused in large part by the melting of Greenland's ice sheet, this process would take a thousand years or more but would be "irreversible" once under way.

The report, due to be published next May by the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), is being read by the world's governments. The final draft seen by New Scientist suggests that dozens of the countries meeting this week to agree on global warming limits through the Kyoto Protocol may face being wiped off the world map.

Four years ago, the IPCC forecast that sea levels could rise by half a metre in this century and by a maximum of between 1.5 and 3 metres over ...

http://www.newscientist.com/article/mg16822660.200-washed-off-the-map.html
 
Signal 11: you're correct that the IPCC didn't predict a sea level rise of 7 feet back in the 80s.
You have linked to someone else making a claim, not to evidence in support of your claim. Your source is a barking-right blog that is known to be extremely biased on this subject. The claim you have linked to says 2-7 feet. Your original point with this was about how there should have been greater uncertainty at that time. If the figures claimed in your link are correct, they demonstrate precisely that greater uncertainty.
 
You have linked to someone else making a claim, not to evidence in support of your claim. Your source is a barking-right blog that is known to be extremely biased on this subject. The claim you have linked to says 2-7 feet. Your original point with this was about how there should have been greater uncertainty at that time. If the figures claimed in your link are correct, they demonstrate precisely that greater uncertainty.

If you really want, I can dig for half an hour to show that this Morgenstern fellow actually did say what is attributed to him.

I suspect that if it was an outright lie, that has been repeated in a number of places, he would have taken legal action by now.

My original point was that at any given time, it's hard to know how much faith to put in the pronouncements of govts and govt panels.

In the eighties, the EPA was advising us of the concensus that the rise would be 2 - 7 feet.

The IPCC made a pronouncement of 2 feet, then later, came out with a pronouncement of 1 foot. Given this constant revision down, perhaps we should wait and see what the next pronouncement will be: 6 inches, perhaps?

Also, with a predicted rise of 1 foot over a century, we have to begin to ask what is the best allocation of resources to alleviate the admittedly reduced problem.
 
Re: predictions that NY etc would be under water:
GLOBAL warming could be on the verge of triggering a rise in sea levels that would flood huge swathes of the Earth's most densely populated regions, says an unpublished report from the world's top climate scientists.

Caused in large part by the melting of Greenland's ice sheet, this process would take a thousand years or more but would be "irreversible" once under way.

The report, due to be published next May by the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), is being read by the world's governments. The final draft seen by New Scientist suggests that dozens of the countries meeting this week to agree on global warming limits through the Kyoto Protocol may face being wiped off the world map.

Four years ago, the IPCC forecast that sea levels could rise by half a metre in this century and by a maximum of between 1.5 and 3 metres over ...
What is your evidence that any of that is unreasonable?
e2a: And your evidence that the report actually said what that article claimed it would say.
 
If you really want, I can dig for half an hour to show that this Morgenstern fellow actually did say what is attributed to him.
But what is attributed to him in that link is NOT what you claimed. You said 7 feet, which would have been unreasonable given the uncertainty at the time. 2-7 feet would not.
 
But what is attributed to him in that link is NOT what you claimed. You said 7 feet, which would have been unreasonable given the uncertainty at the time. 2-7 feet would not.

Correct me if I'm wrong, but a prediction of a range from 2 - 7 feet, includes a prediction of the possibility of seven feet.

But, try as you might to obfuscate, you can't escape my original point, which is that the predictions re sea level rise are going down, as time goes by.

When it comes time to sell the farm to stop CO2 emissions, which set of predictions are we going to be taking to the bank?
 
No I fucking won't apologize for you wasting my time. :mad:

I assume you consider the presentation of an argument that is contrary to the doctrine you profess, as being a waste of time.

And here I thought you were a scientist, and believer in the scientific method, and open discourse.
 
Signal, do you have any idea what the Fifth IPCC report will predict for sea level rise?

I don't, but given past trends, there is a distinct possibility that it might be lowered, yet again.

Which predictions were trumpeted when they were trying to ram Kyoto down our throats?
 
I assume you consider the presentation of an argument that is contrary to the doctrine you profess, as being a waste of time.
You do not present an argument. You just do the Gish Gallop through all the usual misconceptions about the subject, in the hope that people won't be bothered to refute it for the nth time, so that you would be able to mislead anyone who might be as ignorant as you.

And here I thought you were a scientist
I am not a scientist and have never claimed to be one.
 
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