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9/11 media happenings

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Crispy said:
Oh we've been over the 600% thing. It floats around on a bunch of sites and is pretty much unsubstantiated.
I know. Would be nice of Jazzz to admit that, yet again, he's just posted up the first crap he could find without doing any basic background checks.
 
MikeMcc said:
Not to mention the ones that would have volunteered to be amoungst the victims...
I'm sure Jazzz will be along soon to tell us all about the top secret Suicide Security gang employed by the CIA. Or maybe he'll cook up some nonsense that they all secretly left the building just before the planes hit (and no one noticed, naturally).

Whatever he comes up with, you can guarantee it'll be as likely as a cheese fondue party on the Moon.
 
Jazzz said:
As I've pointed out before, the security firm that controlled the WTC also controlled Dulles Airport (where flight 77 took off) and United Airlines (flights 175, 93) and featured a certain Marvin Bush as a director. Coincidence?

Point 1) Marvin Bush left as director of that security firm in 2000.
Point 2) Above point took nearly 60 seconds to find out.
Point 3) Jazzz will quote any old selective shit that seems to back up his delusions. Every single aspect of the "official version" must be investigated and pulled to pieces. Missing pieces are evidence of conspiracy, whilst "appearance on the internet" is sufficient criteria for evidence that he feels supports his delusions.

I think Jazzz would get a lot more respect (at least from me) if he came out and said something along the lines of "I think there was CD of WTC, and although I don't have any evidence, this is what I think".
 
cesare said:
I'm going to ask him about this security stuff etc.
Ask him if anyone asked him if he could do them a favour by carrying in a few tons of explosives and a few miles of wiring whilst he was there (especially if he noticed it was invisible ...) :D
 
editor said:
the top secret Suicide Security gang employed by the CIA... all secretly left the building just before the planes hit (and no one noticed, naturally).


Ermmm...


Were they....


Circumcised Secret Security?



* Puts tenner on this being on pris0nplanet by the end of the week *
 
_40450679_tricorn1.jpg


Office worker: "OMG! What the fuck's happening to the walls of our building?"
Strange man: "Just ignore it ma'am. And don't mention it to anyone else if anything strange happens here later, y'hear?"
Office worker: "You can rely on me curious stranger!"
 
Structures For Beginners and CTers

Jazzz said:
Game, set and match to me, I believe, Mr. Architect. Don't you feel a bit foolish that I am explaining redundacy calculations to you? After all, I just started learning about them.

Ahh, such confidence. It almost seems a shame to have to bring us all back to planet Earth and point out the many, many ways which Jazz gets this all wong.

Firstly it may be helpful (not least for Jazz) if we briefly cover the mechanical properties of structural steel. In particular we need to understand the difference between yield point or strength (there are minor differences which ar enot particularly relevant to this discussion) and tensile strength.

Yield Pointis the load at which a material begins to plastically deform. Prior to the yield point the material will deform elastically, returning to its original shape when the load is removed. However once the yield point is passed the deformation will be permanent. The yield point is vital when designing structural steelwrok since it generally represents the upper load limit.

A yield failure will not necessarily result in rapid structural failure, however resistance to buckling will typically decrease. As loads continue to rise beyond yield point, there is an increasing risk of wider failure.

Tensile Strength is quite different. As the name suggests, it is the maximum load which the material can sustain in tension before it fractures and fails. As steel approaches tensile failure it will deform, concentrating the tensile loads across a smaller area and increasing the risk of failure.

Amongst a long list other properties which we need to take account of are shear, where forces are acting parallel to the component (tensile and compressive forces being in the same plane). So, for example, bolt or splice failures might typically be due to shear.

The steel specified at WTC typically had a yield value of 36ksi however like many materials it has a natural variability; depending upon quality of materials, manufacture, and the like there can be significant variations even within one component. 36ksi should therefore be considered as a minimum value.

NIST tested the steel recovered from WTC (which in itself is of interest, as CTers usually claim it was all whisked away to China with unseemly haste). NIST NCS STAR 1-3D (http://www.fire.nist.gov/bfrlpubs/fire05/PDF/f05158.pdf) confirms a range of actual values:

- Core webs ranged from as low as 31.1 to 41.9 ksi, ie. 86 to 116% of specificed strength.

- Core flanges ranged from 32.4 to a high 53.4 ksi, ie. 90 to 146% of specified strength.

Setting to one side the 31.1 and 32.4 ksi results, inasmuch as a small proprtion of columns below failure point are unlikely to lead to any wider problem, let's take the lower maximum of 116% specified value.

Now, the NIST Demand to Capacity Ratios (DCR) are based upon specified strengths and NIST themselves note that there is effectively spare capacity up to actual (but varying) yield point/strength.

Core columns in WTC typically had a Demand to Capacity Ratio (DCR) of 0.83, ie a safety factor of 1/0.83=1.20. Now let's assume assume that the steel has an additional 16% beyond minimum yield value. This would reduce the DCR to 1.16/.83=1.4.

In other words we could increase the loads in these areas by up to 40% before yield point was reached and plastic (permanent) deformation begins. Of course this figure has lots of variables - most of the steel webs did not have such a high yield factor, some areas had DCRs well in excess of 0.83, and so on.

What we don't do is then add an additional allowance for tensile strength because (a) yield failure is already occuring and (b) gravity loads will be compressive, not tensile.

One thing we also have to appreciate is that the structure of WTC is complex; in addition to dead and live loads, it will be dealing with (for example) transverse and shear loadings from the wind. There will be a degree of torsion due to differential loading. And so on. We would therefore have to look at the exact steelwork design in considerable detail before we could determine a safety factor for each. That's why engineers earn a lot of cash, and why complex modelling software was developed.

Nevertheless it is clear that the actual capacity of the core is not going to be anything like 200% before irreversible damage and failure begin to occur.

So where does Jazz actually go wrong?

And let's also bring in an estimate for the redistribution of load via the hat truss - on a cold day, the shell would tend to contract, and the purpose of the hat truss was to hold it up. In doing so this would produce an extra demand on the core, and I surmise that this was accounted for when they calculated demand figures. So let's say the maximum demand for the core was calculated with an extra 15% from the expected demand with a fully-loaded WTC. (I do not know exactly what extra tolerance was introduced but this may be quite reasonable). This gives us a redundacy figure of... wait for it bees...

(jazzz's maximum demand ratio) * (1/DCR) * (steel yield point) * (maximum steel tensile strength/steel yield strength)

= 1.15 * (1/0.83) * 1.9 * 80/36

= 5.85

= 585%

Well firstly there's no evidence (as far as I can see) that the designers would have added on an "extra" 15% to core loadings - it's just Jazz's guess, and little weight can be attached to the figure.

1/DCR is correct, which is more than can be said for yield point. Jazz has carefully ignored the test figures from the NIST report, which provide hard data.

Thereafter we lapse into a rather strange world where tensile strength is applied to a compressive load failure (ie. additional weight being transferred to the core columns).

And that's before we notice Jazz's new (and unsubstantiated) claim that the purpose of the hat trusses was not to restribute wind loadings betwixt external envelope and core, but also to "hold up" the former when it contracted during cold weather.

Where does this take us?

- There is no substantiated for Jazz's claim of 600% core redundancy

- Jazz' revised calculations giving figures of 386% to 585% are wrong

But in any event the above calculations all assume an intact core, and we know from the various NIST studies and eyewitness evidence that the cores suffered damage - around a third. This will obviously have reduced loadbearing capacity still further, and a simple pro-rata reduction of (say) 30% is likely to be wrong because the damage is concentrated in localised areas and hence these areas will be susceptible to accelerated failure under loads.

I shall, as ever, await Jazz's next attempt to display his intuitive grasp of mechanics and structures with the greatest of interest.



Edited: Clarity/wording
 
55 pages, my word what has got into you editor??

Or is this the new way of dealing with 911 threads, just let one of them go on and on, thereby avoiding others from starting up and getting too close to the bone...?

More seriously though, i don't really think there's any mileage left in them whatsoever unless and until the mass media take up the story. Nothing new, hate to agree with you, but nothing new on this topic at all.

Bin it mate.
 
fela fan said:
Bin it mate.
Whatever for? This is one of the very, very few 9/11 threads where things are actually being examined scientifically and methodically with (some) people who actually know what they're talking about.

Still had no answer as to how these invisible explosives worked, mind.
 
editor said:
Whatever for? This is one of the very, very few 9/11 threads where things are actually being examined scientifically and methodically with (some) people who actually know what they're talking about.

Still had no answer as to how these invisible explosives worked, mind.

Are the people who know what they're talking about against the theory of lihop or mihop??!

And yes, i'd say 55 pages constitutes a 'methodical' working over of things.

Anyway, i'd better bow out as quickly as i came in. Nothing new to add for me...

[those damn yanks done it.]
 
Hell no. What we we've got here is a thorough debunking of a lot of Jazzz's claims. I don't think we've reached the end of that, and the personal insults are at a minimum. No reason to bin at all.
 
fela fan said:
Are the people who know what they're talking about against the theory of lihop or mihop??!
Maybe, just maybe, there are some poeple who are approaching the issue with an open mind, examining what happened from a sound investigative, scientific direction, basing their hypotheses on facts which are considered for reliability.

As opposed to deciding what they are "for" or "against" and then setting out to prove how right they are ...
 
TheArchitect said:
Nevertheless it is clear that the actual capacity of the core is not going to be over 200% before irreversible damage and failure begin to occur.

Congratulations on prooving Jazzz correct. :p
 
WouldBe said:
Congratulations on prooving Jazzz correct. :p

:confused:

Actual safety factor is likely to be well under 2.0 (or 200%), thus demolishing Jazz' post and highlighting the errors in his ludicrous attempt at DIY structural calcs.

I'll change the wording of that line to make it clearer.
 
TheArchitect said:
:confused:

Actual safety factor is likely to be well under 2.0 (or 200%), thus demolishing Jazz' post and highlighting the errors in his ludicrous attempt at DIY structural calcs.
Sorry you said it wouldn't be over 200%. Which is it?

or are experts just as capable of making mistakes at the CTers.

I'll change the wording of that line to make it clearer.
Too late. I've quoted it. :p
 
WouldBe said:
Sorry you said it wouldn't be over 200%. Which is it?

or are experts just as capable of making mistakes at the CTers.

You're just giving away that you didn't read the post properly. The preceeding paragraph is quite clear:

In other words we could increase the loads in these areas by up to 40% before yield point was reached and plastic (permanent) deformation begins. Of course this figure has lots of variables - most of the steel webs did not have such a high yield factor, some areas had DCRs well in excess of 0.83, and so on.

In other words failure occurs at about 1.4 design load, subject to other variables. Therefore the core cannot carry anything like the 200% Jazz claimed at one point, never mind the ludicrous figures elsewhere.

Unless, of course, you actually think that #1289 and its predecessor actually constituted a meaningful attempt at a structural calculation. Perhaps you're a CTer too?
 
detective-boy said:
Maybe, just maybe, there are some poeple who are approaching the issue with an open mind...

On a 911 thread?? Give over man, that's preposterous.

To help clarify if you're one of these people with an open mind that you speak of: do you accept the possibility of lihop or mihop?

Because there's no proof or facts that says it wasn't one of those two scenarios, and there's no evidence that the whole thing can be put down to staggering incompetence by the yanks.

Do you have an open mind DB??
 
editor said:
What do you think really happened, WouldBe?

At least you're beginning to show an open mind editor. For ages you've just called for evidence and facts, at least you're now asking for people's opinions too.

Good on yer man.
 
fela fan said:
On a 911 thread?? Give over man, that's preposterous.

To help clarify if you're one of these people with an open mind that you speak of: do you accept the possibility of lihop or mihop?

Because there's no proof or facts that says it wasn't one of those two scenarios, and there's no evidence that the whole thing can be put down to staggering incompetence by the yanks.

Do you have an open mind DB??
I thought you just said:
fela fan said:
Anyway, i'd better bow out as quickly as i came in. Nothing new to add for me...
:confused:
 
fela fan said:
At least you're beginning to show an open mind editor. For ages you've just called for evidence and facts, at least you're now asking for people's opinions too.
I bet all that pesky "evidence" and those irritating "facts" must prove rather annoying for you when you find neither of them can be shaped or twisted to fit your closed-mind, set-in-stone, preconceived 'beliefs' in what really happened, eh fela?

But you've already said that you've got nothing new to add, so there's no need for you to hang around here offering your spiritual insights, maaaaan.
 
editor said:
What do you think really happened, WouldBe?
The same as you. Just that I agree with Jazzz that the core should have been capable of bearing 100% of the load of the towers.
 
Of course, mihop or lihop are possible - but so far, the evidence is weighed very heavily against the former and heavily against the latter. I still think lihba is the most likely scenario.
 
fela fan said:
On a 911 thread?? Give over man, that's preposterous.

To help clarify if you're one of these people with an open mind that you speak of: do you accept the possibility of lihop or mihop?

Because there's no proof or facts that says it wasn't one of those two scenarios, and there's no evidence that the whole thing can be put down to staggering incompetence by the yanks.

Do you have an open mind DB??
Personally I doubt lihop and mihop and I've get to be convinced by anything that has been put forward to suggest that it was. That there was certainly evidence that the there were major screw-ups and that intelligence was ignored. There were major problems with the resources that the NYFD were using (a continuing problem in the UK and the US as shown during the response to 7/7). But all of this is easy to say now with 20/20 hindsight.

The biggest piece of evidence against lihop/mihop is that no one has talked in all this time.
 
Crispy said:
Of course, lihop or mihop are possible - but so far, the evidence is weighed very heavily against the former and heavily against the latter. I still think lihba is the most likely scenario.

Did you mean to suggest that LIHOP is less likely than MIHOP? :confused:

FWIW I think MIHOP is bollocks, LIHOP is possible but LIHBA is by far the most likely scenario.
 
Roadkill said:
Did you mean to suggest that LIHOP is less likely than MIHOP? :confused:

FWIW I think MIHOP is bollocks, LIHOP is possible but LIHBA is by far the most likely scenario.
oops, wrong way round :oops:
 
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